Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PABLO-19 in Portugal on 25 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19

in Portugal

25 Oct 2019 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Portugal
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (26 Oct 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 150000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	83	150 thousand	No people	Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.8, -32.2
1	26 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	35.3, -30.7
1	26 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	150000 people	36.3, -26.8	Portugal
1	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	40, -23.5
1	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	43, -21.5
1	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	46.5, -20

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Azores	Portugal

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Ponta Delgada	Açores (Azores)	Portugal	City	20000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Nordela	PDL	79	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7900
Vila Do Porto	SMA	93	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Capelas		Portugal
Punta Delgada	PTPDL	Portugal
Vila Franco Do Campo		Portugal
Vila Do Porto	PTVDP	Portugal

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Feteiras, Portugal. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 25 Oct 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Feteiras	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Relva	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Ponta Delgada	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Ponte Delgada	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Lagoa	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Caloura	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Vila Franca do Campo	Portugal	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Ponta Garca	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Mosteiros	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Remedios	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	S. Vicente Ferreira	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 23:00	Ribeira Grande	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 23:00	Maia	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 22:00	Povoacao	Portugal	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 23:00	Agua Retorta	Portugal	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Nordeste	Portugal	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.